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Hat Trick Letter Mission
Jim Willie CB, "The Golden Jackass"
"Bad money drives out good money." -- Sir Thomas Gresham (16th C)
[but real money emerges triumphant after the inevitable crisis that ensues]
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Philosophy of newsletter
"Once public opinion is convinced that the increase in the quantity of money will continue and never come to an end, and that consequently the prices of all commodities will not cease to rise, everybody becomes eager to buy as much as possible and restrict his cash holdings to minimum size. If the credit expansion is not stopped in time, the boom turns to CRACK-UP BOOM: the flight into real values begins, and the whole monetary system founders." -- Ludwig von Mises (1949)
The “HAT TRICK LETTER” investment strategy originally was three-fold:
- Discovery of minerals & resources (e.g. gold, silver, copper, oil, gas)
- Price rise for those commodities
- Canadian Dollar appreciation
In the last few years, since the Lehman Brothers failure in late 2008, the investment strategy has changed. It is more single-minded in recommended strategy, to invest primarily in gold, silver, but perhaps platinum and palladium to a minor extent. The best forms are bullion bars for larger accounts and coins for smaller accounts. The mining stocks have been discouraged by the Jackass in recent years, correctly so. They are badly under-performing and harmed by rugged illicit activity. They might surprise with fine gains in the future, but one should recall that mining stocks are paper investments subject to inflation via diluted shares, and subject to risk of foreign jurisdiction confiscations that are in occurrence again. The rationale for physical investment is simple, less risky, and without leverage. No high level solutions have been or will be attempted for the systemic crisis, as the power structure has been preserved. The numerous monetary policy and bank aid packages have badly debased the major currencies, with no remedy. The 0% central bank policy that dominates will lead to persistent aggravated problems in the future, not remedy. The reckless free cost of money will continue to pressure commodity prices, including energy and food prices. The economic damage is obvious from profit margin pressures universally. Therefore, the best route is to invest in gold & silver bars and coins, keeping them in safe locations, prepared for the full crisis blossom. The storm of monetary hyper inflation and systemic rupture with asset deflation will continue to create a massive hurricane storm.
The major themes analyzed will continue to be the financial sector, currencies, bonds, and the central banks, as they bear on trends for the structurally damaged US Economy. Mining and energy exploration companies can be the investment focus, for those who choose to endure the growing risks. Investments of all types will be positioned for near-term and long-term gains, rather than short-term. Research reports will be issued monthly to the website, posted in mid-month.
A secondary but vital motive of mine is to teach and explain the many complex topics, and to see readers learn. My background of statistical analyst includes teaching experience, training and classroom, where complexity is commonplace. An attempt to respond to some emails sent to me will be attempted, with no guarantees for promptness, due to broad duties.